• Comparison of past and future simulations of ENSO in CMIP5/PMIP3 and CMIP6/PMIP4 models 

      Brown, Josephine; Brierley, Chris; Soon-Il, An; Guarino, Maria-Vittoria; Stevenson, Samantha; Williams, Charles J. R.; Zhang, Qiong; Zhao, Anni; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako; Braconnot, Pascale; Brady, Esther C.; Chandan, Deepak; D'Agostino, Roberta; Guo, Chuncheng; Legrande, Allegra N.; Lohmann, Gerrit; Morozova, Polina A.; Ohgaito, Rumi; O'ishi, Ryouta; Otto-Bliesner, Bette L.; Peltier, W. Richard; Shi, Xiaoxu; Sime, Louise C.; Volodin, Evgeny M.; Zhang, Zhongshi; Zheng, Weipeng (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2020)
      El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the strongest mode of interannual climate variability in the current climate, influencing ecosystems, agriculture, and weather systems across the globe, but future projections of ENSO ...
    • Evaluating the large-scale hydrological cycle response within the Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project Phase 2 (PlioMIP2) ensemble 

      Han, Zixuan; Zhang, Qiong; Li, Qiang; Feng, Ran; Haywood, Alan M.; Tindall, Julia C.; Hunter, Stephen J.; Otto-Bliesner, Bette L.; Brady, Esther C.; Rosenbloom, Nan; Zhang, Zhongshi; Li, Xiangyu; Guo, Chuncheng; Nisancioglu, Kerim Hestnes; Stepanek, Christian; Lohmann, Gerrit; Sohl, Linda E.; Chandler, Mark A.; Tan, Ning; Ramstein, Gilles; Baatsen, Michiel L. J.; Von Der Heydt, Anna S.; Chandan, Deepak; Peltier, W. Richard; Williams, Charles J. R.; Lunt, Daniel J.; Cheng, Jianbo; Wen, Qin; Burls, Natalie J. (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2021)
      The mid-Pliocene (∼3 Ma) is one of the most recent warm periods with high CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere and resulting high temperatures, and it is often cited as an analog for near-term future climate change. Here, ...
    • GrSMBMIP: intercomparison of the modelled 1980-2012 surface mass balance over the Greenland Ice Sheet 

      Fettweis, Xavier; Hofer, Stefan; Krebs-Kanzow, Uta; Amory, Charles; Aoki, Teruo; Berends, Constantijn J.; Born, Andreas; Box, Jason E.; Delhasse, Alison; Fujita, Koji; Gierz, Paul; Goelzer, Heiko; Hanna, Edward; Hashimoto, Akihiro; Huybrechts, Philippe; Kapsch, Marie-Luise; King, Michaela D.; Kittel, Christoph; Lang, Charlotte; Langen, Peter L.; Lenaerts, Jan T.M.; Liston, Glen E.; Lohmann, Gerrit; Mernild, Jacob Sebastian Haugaard; Mikolajewicz, Uwe; Modali, Kameswarrao; Mottram, Ruth H.; Niwano, Masashi; Noël, Brice; Ryan, Jonathan C.; Smith, Amy; Streffing, Jan; Tedesco, Marco; Van de Berg, Willem Jan; Van den Broeke, Michiel; Van de Wal, Rodecrick S.; Von Kampenhout, Leo; Wilton, David; Wouters, Bert; Ziemen, Florian; Zolles, Tobias (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2020)
      Observations and models agree that the Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) surface mass balance (SMB) has decreased since the end of the 1990s due to an increase in meltwater runoff and that this trend will accelerate in the future. ...
    • The hydrological cycle and ocean circulation of the Maritime Continent in the Pliocene: results from PlioMIP2 

      Ren, Xin; Lunt, Daniel J.; Hendy, Erica; Von Der Heydt, Anna; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako; Otto-Bliesner, Bette; Williams, Charles J. R.; Stepanek, Christian; Guo, Chuncheng; Chandan, Deepak; Lohmann, Gerrit; Tindall, Julia C.; Sohl, Linda E.; Chandler, Mark A.; Kageyama, Masa; Baatsen, Michiel L. J.; Tan, Ning; Zhang, Qiong; Feng, Ran; Hunter, Stephen; Chan, Wing-Le; Peltier, W. Richard; Li, Xiangyu; Kamae, Youichi; Zhang, Zhongshi; Haywood, Alan M. (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2023)
      The Maritime Continent (MC) forms the western boundary of the tropical Pacific Ocean, and relatively small changes in this region can impact the climate locally and remotely. In the mid-Piacenzian warm period of the Pliocene ...
    • Large-scale features of Last Interglacial climate: results from evaluating the lig127k simulations for the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6)–Paleoclimate Modeling Intercomparison Project (PMIP4) 

      Otto-Bliesner, Bette L.; Brady, Esther C.; Zhao, Anni; Brierley, Chris M.; Axford, Yarrow; Capron, Emilie; Govin, Aline; Hoffman, Jeremy S.; Isaacs, Elizabeth; Kageyama, Masa; Scussolini, Paolo; Tzedakis, Polychronis C.; Williams, Charles J.R.; Wolff, Eric W.; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako; Braconnot, Pascale; Ramos Buarque, Silvana; Cao, Jian; de Vernal, Anne; Vittoria Guarino, Maria; Guo, Chuncheng; Legrande, Allegra N.; Lohmann, Gerrit; Meissner, Katrin J.; Menviel, Laurie; Morozova, Polina A.; Nisancioglu, Kerim H.; O'Ishi, Ryouta; Mélia, David Salas Y.; Shi, Xaoxu; Sicard, Marie; Sime, Louise C.; Stepanek, Christian; Tomas, Robert A.; Volodin, Evgeny; Yeung, Nicholas K.H.; Zhang, Qiong; Zhang, Zhongshi; Zheng, Weipeng (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2021)
      The modeling of paleoclimate, using physically based tools, is increasingly seen as a strong out-of-sample test of the models that are used for the projection of future climate changes. New to the Coupled Model Intercomparison ...
    • Lessons from a high-CO2 world: an ocean view from  ∼ 3 million years ago 

      McClymont, Erin L.; Ford, Heather; Ho, Sze Ling; Tindall, Julia C.; Haywood, Alan M.; Alonso-Garcia, Montserrat; Bailey, Ian; Berke, Melissa A.; Littler, Kate; Patterson, Molly O.; Petrick, Benjamin; Peterse, Francien; Ravelo, Ana Christina; Risebrobakken, Bjørg; De Schepper, Stijn; Swann, George E. A.; Kaustubh, Thirumalai; Tierney, Jessica E; Van der Weijst, Carolien; White, Sarah; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako; Baatsen, Michiel L. J.; Brady, Esther C.; Chan, Wing-Le; Chandan, Deepak; Ran, Feng; Guo, Chenchen Guo; von der Heydt, Anna S.; Stephen, Hunter; Xiangyi, Li; Lohmann, Gerrit; Nisancioglu, Kerim Hestnes; Otto-Bliesner, Bette L.; Peltier, Richard W.; Stepanek, Christian; Zhang, Zhongshi (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2020)
      A range of future climate scenarios are projected for high atmospheric CO2 concentrations, given uncertainties over future human actions as well as potential environmental and climatic feedbacks. The geological record ...
    • Mid-Pliocene Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation simulated in PlioMIP2 

      Zhang, Zhongshi; Li, Xiangyu; Guo, Chuncheng; Otterå, Odd Helge; Nisancioglu, Kerim Hestnes; Tan, Ning; Contoux, Camille; Ramstein, Gilles; Feng, Ran; Otto-Bliesner, Bette L.; Brady, Esther C.; Chandan, Deepak; Richard Peltier, Peltier; Baatsen, Michiel L. J.; Von Der Heydt, Anna S.; Weiffenbach, Julia E.; Stepanek, Christian; Lohmann, Gerrit; Zhang, Qiong; Li, Qiang; Chandler, Mark A.; Sohl, Linda E.; Haywood, Alan M.; Hunter, Stephen J.; Tindall, Julia C.; Williams, Charles; Lunt, Daniel J.; Chan, Wing-Le; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2021)
      In the Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project Phase 2 (PlioMIP2), coupled climate models have been used to simulate an interglacial climate during the mid-Piacenzian warm period (mPWP; 3.264 to 3.025 Ma). Here, we compare ...
    • Mid-Pliocene West African Monsoon rainfall as simulated in the PlioMIP2 ensemble 

      Berntell, Ellen; Zhang, Qiong; Li, Qiang; Haywood, Alan M.; Tindall, Julia C.; Hunter, Stephen J.; Zhang, Zhongshi; Xiangyu, Li; Guo, Chuncheng; Nisancioglu, Kerim Hestnes; Stepanek, Christian; Lohmann, Gerrit; Sohl, Linda E.; Chandler, Mark A.; Tan, Ning; Contoux, Camille; Ramstein, Gilles; Baatsen, Michiel L. J.; von der Heydt, Anna S.; Chandan, Deepak; Peltier, W. Richard; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako; Chan, Wing-Le; Kamae, Youichi; Williams, Charles J. R.; Lunt, Daniel J.; Feng, Ran; Otto-Bliesner, Bette L.; Brady, Esther C. (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)
      The mid-Pliocene warm period (mPWP; ∼3.2 million years ago) is seen as the most recent time period characterized by a warm climate state, with similar to modern geography and ∼400 ppmv atmospheric CO2 concentration, and ...
    • A multi-model CMIP6-PMIP4 study of Arctic sea ice at 127 ka: sea ice data compilation and model differences 

      Kageyama, Masa; Sime, Louise C.; Sicard, Marie; Guarino, Maria-Vittoria; De Vernal, A; Stein, Ruediger; Schroeder, david; Malmierca-Vallet, Irene; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako; Bitz, Cecilia M.; Braconnot, Pascale; Brady, Esther C.; Cao, Jian; Chamberlain, Matthew; Feltham, Danny; Guo, Chuncheng; Legrande, Allegra N.; Lohmann, Gerrit; Meissner, Katrin; Menviel, Laurie; Nisancioglu, Kerim Hestnes; Otto-Bliesner, Bette L.; O'ishi, Ryouta; Ramos Buarque, Silvan; Salas y Mélia, David; Sherriff-Tadano, Sam; Stroeve, Julienne C.; Shi, Xiaoxu; Sun, Bo; Thomas, Robert; Volodin, Evgeny; Yeung, Nicholas K.H.; Zhang, Qiong; Zhang, Zhongshi; Zheng, Weipeng; Ziehn, Tilo (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2021)
      The Last Interglacial period (LIG) is a period with increased summer insolation at high northern latitudes, which results in strong changes in the terrestrial and marine cryosphere. Understanding the mechanisms for this ...
    • Past terrestrial hydroclimate sensitivity controlled by Earth system feedbacks 

      Feng, Ran; Bhattacharya, Tripti; Otto-Bliesner, Bette L.; Brady, Esther C.; Haywood, Alan M.; Tindall, Julia C.; Hunter, Stephen J.; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako; Chan, Wing-Le; Kageyama, Masa; Contoux, Camille; Guo, Chuncheng; Li, Xiangyu; Lohmann, Gerrit; Stepanek, Christian; Tan, Ning; Zhang, Qiong; Zhang, Zhongshi; Han, Zixuan; Williams, Charles J. R.; Lunt, Daniel J.; Dowsett, Harry J.; Chandan, Deepak; Peltier, W. Richard (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)
      Despite tectonic conditions and atmospheric CO2 levels (pCO2) similar to those of present-day, geological reconstructions from the mid-Pliocene (3.3-3.0 Ma) document high lake levels in the Sahel and mesic conditions in ...
    • The Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project Phase 2: large-scale climate features and climate sensitivity 

      Haywood, Alan M.; Tindall, Julia C.; Dowsett, Harry J.; Dolan, Aisling M.; Foley, Kevin M.; Hunter, Stephen J.; Hill, Daniel J.; Chan, Wing-Le; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako; Stepanek, Christian; Lohmann, Gerrit; Chandan, Deepak; Peltier, Richard W.; Tan, Ning; Contoux, Camille; Ramstein, Gilles; Li, Xiangyu; Zhang, Zhongshi; Guo, Chuncheng; Nisancioglu, Kerim Hestnes; Zhang, Qiong; Li, Qiang; Kamae, Youichi; Chandler, Mark A.; Sohl, Linda E.; Otto-Bliesner, Bette L.; Feng, Ran; Brady, Esther C.; von der Heydt, Anna S.; Baatsen, Michiel L. J.; Lunt, Daniel J (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2020)
      The Pliocene epoch has great potential to improve our understanding of the long-term climatic and environmental consequences of an atmospheric CO2 concentration near ~ 400 parts per million by volume. Here we present the ...
    • Reduced El Niño variability in the mid-Pliocene according to the PlioMIP2 ensemble 

      Oldeman, Arthur M.; Baatsen, Michiel L. J.; Von Der Heydt, Anna S.; Dijkstra, Henk A.; Tindall, Julia C.; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako; Booth, Alice R.; Brady, Esther C.; Chan, Wing-Le; Chandan, Deepak; Chandler, Mark A.; Contoux, Camille; Feng, Ran; Guo, Chuncheng; Haywood, Alan M.; Hunter, Stephen J.; Kamae, Youichi; Li, Qiang; Li, Xiangyu; Lohmann, Gerrit; Lunt, Daniel J.; Nisancioglu, Kerim Hestnes; Otto-Bliesner, Bette L.; Peltier, W. Richard; Pontes, Gabriel M.; Ramstein, Gilles; Sohl, Linda E.; Stepanek, Christian; Tan, Ning; Zhang, Qiong; Zhang, Zhongshi; Wainer, Ilana; Williams, Charles J. R. (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)
      The mid-Pliocene warm period (3.264–3.025 Ma) is the most recent geological period during which atmospheric CO2 levels were similar to recent historical values (∼400 ppm). Several proxy reconstructions for the mid-Pliocene ...
    • Unraveling the mechanisms and implications of a stronger mid-Pliocene Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) in PlioMIP2 

      Weiffenbach, Julia E.; Baatsen, Michiel L. J.; Dijkstra, Henk A.; Von Der Heydt, Anna S.; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako; Brady, Esther C.; Chan, Wing-Le; Chandan, Deepak; Chandler, Mark A.; Contoux, Camille; Feng, Ran; Guo, Chuncheng; Han, Zixuan; Haywood, Alan M.; Li, Qiang; Li, Xiangyu; Lohmann, Gerrit; Lunt, Daniel J.; Nisancioglu, Kerim Hestnes; Otto-Bliesner, Bette L.; Peltier, W. Richard; Ramstein, Gilles; Sohl, Linda E.; Stepanek, Christian; Tan, Ning; Tindall, Julia C.; Williams, Charles J. R.; Zhang, Qiong; Zhang, Zhongshi (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2023)
      The mid-Pliocene warm period (3.264–3.025 Ma) is the most recent geological period in which the atmospheric CO2 concentration was approximately equal to the concentration we measure today (ca. 400 ppm). Sea surface temperature ...